SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

United Kingdom's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
021
121
221
321
431
531
641
741
841
981
1091
1191
12101
13101
14101
15101
16101
17101
18101
19101
20101
21101
22111
23111
24111
25131
26181
27221
28301
29421
30471
31691
321091
331641
342201
352711
363521
374121
384691
396171
408761
4112821000
4217661175
4322441345
4426051580
4530471795
4636582125
4744272500
4854262905
4964813305
5077363730
5189344200
52103124705
53126505270
54150255905
55177176685
56208047525
57240018390
58268239470
592968110820
603395412170
613846813650
624338115320
634824917365
645316019475
655718021740
666077224140
676605426865
687150429730
697663532860
708149336305
718580640160
728938544325
739287449015
749705254235
7510137859435
7610644365220
7711173571045
7811669177380
7912141283980
8012526591085
8113011998600
82134879106200
83140366114170
84145524122825
85150494131115
86154242140000
87157715149030
88162421158475
89167150167920
90172592177230
91177558186480
92182295195620
93185524204715
94188506213890
95191895223015
96195577231880
97199404240500
98203171249000
99206234256835
100208391264705
101210720272470
102214306280005
103217708217000
104221015217990
105223643219125
106226169220300
107228248221465
108230086222695
109232675223945
110235727225015
111238445225930
112241019226910
113243081227915
114244608228905
115245972230015
116247596231165
117249268232415
118251103233525
119252863234735
120254390235915
121255515237295
122256594238590
123258035239845
124259519241150
125260875242415
126262118243565
127263238244795
128264039245945
129264760247180
130265859248550
131267017249825
132268216251115
133269233252395
134270285253670
135271175255050
136271997256380
137273040257755
138274142259075
139275155260500
140276182261750
141277168262975
142277855264290
143278494265615
144279390266945
145280276268295
146281054269745
147281775271120
148282446272580
149283095273980
150283541275225
151284271276615
152284888277975
153285539279370
154286141280795
155286720281920
156287121283180
157287676284570
158288380285955
159288977287350
160289670288745
161290385290030
162290950291350
163291392292625
164291753293885
165292479295140
166293164296560
167293936297835
168294640299205
169295209300440
170295702301775
171296115302960
172296908304235
173297659305625
174298432307005
175299163308295
176299830309660
177300251311045
178300622312335
179300692313720
180301455315110
181302301316390
182303181317750
183303952319040
184304695320395
185305623321565
186306293322725
187307184324125
188308134325300
189309005326365
190309763327580
191310825329020
192311641330255
193312789331570
194313798332810
195314927334025
196316367335280
197317444336445
198318484337680
199319197338960
200320286340010
201321098341135
202322280342255
203323313343305
204324601344410
205325642345530
206326614346675
207327798347760
208328846348880
209330368349865
210331644350865
211332752351840
212334467352955
213335873354035
214337168355045
215338676356125
216340411357020
217342351358155
218344164359165
219347152360135
220350100360955
221352560361880
222355219362640
223358138363640
224361677364535
225365174365460
226368504366370
227371125367240
228374228368120
229378219368950
230381614369840
231385936370565
232390358371410
233394257372285
234398625373110
235403551373975
236409729374730
237416363375595
238423236376280
239429277377050
240434969377895
241439013378705
242446156379410
243453264380210
244460178380995
245467146381740
246480017382405
247502978383205
248515571383975
249nan384695
250nan385310
251nan385930
252nan386620
253nan387150
254nan387795
255nan388340

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi