SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Togo's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
011
111
211
311
411
511
611
791
81510
91511
101813
111814
122315
132417
142518
152820
163022
173424
183426
193628
203930
214032
224135
234437
245840
256542
267044
277347
287649
297651
307655
317757
327760
338162
348165
358368
368471
378475
388478
398681
408885
418888
429093
439697
4498101
4599105
4699110
47109115
48116119
49123124
50123128
51124132
52126138
53128143
54128148
55135153
56145158
57153164
58174169
59181180
60199187
61219193
62238198
63263203
64298208
65301214
66330220
67338227
68340234
69354240
70363247
71373254
72381262
73386270
74391278
75395285
76422293
77428300
78433309
79442317
80443326
81445334
82452342
83465350
84485359
85487366
86495374
87497382
88501390
89522401
90524410
91525418
92530427
93531436
94532446
95537457
96544467
97547478
98555488
99561499
100569509
101569519
102576530
103583541
104588552
105591561
106615573
107642584
108643594
109650605
110661615
111667628
112671639
113676650
114680661
115680673
116689684
117695695
118704707
119710719
120718731
121720744
122721756
123731769
124740781
125749794
126749806
127766818
128774830
129783842
130790855
131806867
132828880
133839894
134853905
135868918
136874931
137896945
138896959
139927971
140941984
141958996
1429611008
1439761020
1449881035
14510011049
14610121063
14710281076
14810461089
14910601103
15010671118
15110701132
15210921146
15311041159
15411241174
15511301188
15611471203
15711541217
15811731231
15911901245
16012121260
16112391273
16212751288
16312771304
16412951320
16513091335
16613261351
16713261365
16813651381
16913901397
17013961411
17114001426
17214161441
17314341455
17414431470
17514571484
17614771500
17714881515
17814931531
17915131547
18015281562
18115371577
18215481592
18315551610
18415721625
18515781639
18615951655
18716081669
18816181686
18916401701
19016591716
19116661731
19216691746
19316831761
19417011776
19517071791
19617221808
19717361824
19817431840
19917491856
20017591871
20117841887
20218091902
20318181917
20418401932
20518541946
20618641963
207nan1979
208nan1993
209nan2007
210nan2022
211nan2036
212nan2052
213nan2067

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi