SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Russia's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
021
121
221
321
421
521
621
721
821
921
1021
1121
1221
1321
1421
1521
1621
1721
1821
1921
2021
2121
2221
2321
2421
2521
2621
2721
2821
2921
3021
3131
3241
3341
3441
35101
36101
37101
38101
39101
40251
41301
42451
43591
44631
45931
461141
471471
481991
492531
503061
513671
524381
534951
546581
558401
5610361
5712641
5815341
5918361
6023371
6127771
6235481
6341491
6447311
6553891
6663431
6774971
6886721
691013110000
701191711000
711358411950
721577012000
731832812150
742110212500
752449012950
762793813100
773200813500
783679314100
794285314400
804712115050
815276315800
825799916550
836277317150
846862218150
857458819100
868094919650
878714720450
889355821150
899939921800
9010649822550
9111443124000
9212405425100
9313468726200
9414526827450
9515537028800
9616592930100
9717716031700
9818785933300
9919867634650
10020968836600
10122134438550
10223224340250
10324227141950
10425224543750
10526284345700
10627204347950
10728175250100
10829067852000
10929994154350
11030870556500
11131755458600
11232644861150
11333588263600
11434448166550
11535342769250
11636234271950
11737068075150
11837905178300
11938762381150
12039657583900
12140584387100
12241487889800
12342374193050
12443227796400
12544110899650
126449834103900
127458689106850
128467673110000
129476658112450
130485253115250
131493657490000
132502436491750
133511423492800
134520129495450
135528964497350
136537210499100
137545458501850
138553301504100
139561091507350
140569063510450
141576952513900
142584680518150
143592280520400
144599705523450
145606881527100
146613994530650
147620794534600
148627646539100
149634437543000
150641156547500
151647849553200
152654405558750
153661165564900
154667883571050
155674515576500
156681251583450
157687862590000
158694230597550
159700792604850
160707301612400
161713936621100
162720547629400
163727162637400
164733699645200
165739947653100
166746369661750
167752797670950
168759203680850
169765437691100
170771546702000
171777486712100
172783328723600
173789190735900
174795038748000
175800849760950
176806720774050
177812485786850
178818120799200
179823515813100
180828990827200
181834499840600
182839981854300
183845443867250
184850870880700
185856264894300
186861423907500
187867343919400
188871894933150
189877135948550
190882347963000
191887536977450
192892654992600
1938975991007700
1949027011021800
1959077581035950
1969128231050350
1979178841065150
1989228531079550
1999277451094900
2009324931107900
2019373211122200
2029421061136350
2039469761148850
2049518971160750
2059567491174600
2069614931187550
2079661891201350
2089708651213850
2099755761226200
2109804051238900
2119853461251100
2129903261262100
2139953191272400
21410000481284750
21510050001296550
21610099951307850
21710151051317400
21810203101328400
21910255051337250
22010306901348850
22110357891359500
22210410071369850
22310463701377550
22410518741385850
22510573621395400
22610628111402250
22710683201409850
22810738491417850
22910795191425850
23010852811432850
23110911861439950
23210972511447300
23311033991454500
23411095951460250
23511158101466550
23611222411471950
23711288361478100
23811360481484250
23911435711489700
24011514381496000
24111595731501300
24211678051506450
24311762861511200
24411852311515200
24511946431519650
24612045021523600
24712150011527400
24812258891531500
249nan1535000
250nan1538000
251nan1541800
252nan1544950
253nan1547250
254nan1550900
255nan1554050

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi