SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Rondonia's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
011
111
231
331
431
551
651
761
861
961
1061
1181
1291
131010
141012
151114
161216
171420
181823
191827
202831
213235
223339
233543
244248
256455
266964
277673
289283
2911094
30128107
31160160
32199184
33223203
34250225
35290245
36328270
37364296
38393324
39413353
40433387
41502422
42585463
43653504
44705551
45756603
46861662
47943727
481098796
491222867
501263946
5113021030
5213961122
5314601225
5416121334
5516861452
5617891578
5719191711
5819631862
5920432011
6022572174
6124992356
6226592544
6327742744
6431092952
6532013173
6632683404
6734933644
6838623893
6942524155
7045024428
7147434706
7249424996
7351725295
7454775602
75nan5918
76nan6240
77nan6556
78nan6882
79nan7200
80nan7523
81nan7844

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi