SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Rio Grande do Norte's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
011
111
211
311
411
511
611
711
861
991
10131
11131
12141
13191
14281
15451
16681
17771
18821
19921
20105100
21176112
22212124
23242137
24246154
25254171
26261196
27261208
28263222
29289235
30302248
31339264
32376278
33399293
34400310
35463338
36516364
37531390
38595417
39608450
40646480
41708506
42754542
43781576
44825613
45832649
46857694
471086747
481177795
491297854
501366912
511392960
5214211012
5315361065
5415741130
5517391212
5618211288
5719191372
5819281461
5919891554
6020331656
6123671756
6225371864
6327861982
6430042112
6531372234
6631842382
6734832532
6837962692
6940602858
7042513054
7145993251
7246974600
7347594716
7454724818
7556304930
7656305029
7764635145
7874025278
7974025420
8079645571
8182335736
8291495904
8392826080
8494406261
8594496464
8694526684
87108886944
88110277200
89115687480
90132347789
91135018130
92137898481
93141718844
94142149236
95152129670
961521210112
971588910572
981603911039
991920611560
1001929012126
1011995712704
1022007513333
1032177413996
1042266514666
1052373115398
1062425316136
1072445616938
1082972117752
1093028718588
1103189919445
1113289720321
1123342121226
1133425722172
1143464523150
1153498424121
1163582025118
1173651126111
1183706027160
1193826528230
1203861629352
1213942130434
1223980031518
1234034132589
1244065433670
1254097834749
1264130335784
1274345136816
1284376637822
1294395738846
1304426739834
1314518440840
1324605641808
1334668342768
1344692643716
1354709944634
1364729145529
1374837446411
1384905147220
1394966748004
1405041648794
1415155749522
1425184550258
1435203050948
1445256651614
1455349052247
1465410652884
1475471753473
1485515054058
1495529054572
1505542055080
1515792155570
1525657256046
1535707256500
1545746756930
1555766057365
1565772057771
1575789858162
1585830758528
1595866758872
1605913859176
1615919159486
1625939359772
1635958260036
1645964960276
1656016160489
1666044260724
1676089360947
1686121961154
1696150761364
1706164961538
1716174861715
1726199161867
1736243262009
1746285562146
1756328962276
1766369362397
1776380162508
1786381062622
1796387962724
1806413562818
1816451962904
1826487862991
1836504563070
1846530063141
1856536063215
1866564763282
1876593363344
1886632263412
1896665563470
1906696363520
1916718463572
1926721763620
1936745963659
1946776163696
1956805963733
1966833163764
1976850063798
1986862763832
1996876563858
2006901363878
2016943363910
2026971563936
2037010663958
2047055363980
2057072263996
2067078964016
2077104364032
208nan64055
209nan64066
210nan64082
211nan64094
212nan64103
213nan64116
214nan64126

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi