SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Piaui's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
031
141
241
361
461
581
691
791
81110
91412
101614
111816
121820
131923
142127
152231
162337
172344
182851
193158
203867
214076
224189
2344102
2450116
2558133
267570
279174
2810278
2912383
3014588
3115894
3218699
33206104
34217109
35256117
36297126
37331136
38364147
39408161
40454178
41513199
42600223
43665249
44742278
45784311
46875348
47949391
481051437
491131490
501233556
511278627
521332706
531443795
541612895
5517841008
5619051130
5720851269
5822521417
5922871581
6024401752
6126371941
6228522142
6330742353
6432582585
6533902824
6635503079
6737203340
6839663601
6942433867
7045034138
7147454410
7249314688
7351194954
7455065220
75nan5479
76nan5736
77nan5976
78nan6210
79nan6440
80nan6657
81nan6864

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi