SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Norway's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
011
141
261
3151
4191
5251
6331
7561
8861
9113100
10147116
11169131
12192152
13277186
14489216
15621235
16621252
17907276
181077306
191169337
201308372
211423410
221552458
231742514
241926571
252132636
262371702
272566774
282916854
293156962
3035811066
3138451178
3241021288
3342261422
3444471560
3546651725
3649351900
3752082090
3855102262
3956402488
4057552728
4158632972
4260103257
4361603560
4462443861
4563204204
4664154562
4764884940
4865665338
4966775731
5067916146
5167916573
5269847008
5370687452
5471137919
5571668394
5672508872
5773459353
5874089842
59746710330
60750510798
61753311272
62760511725
63766712156
6477107700
6577598034
6677598354
6778098656
6878478939
6979039263
7079539563
7179959880
72803410206
73806910510
74809910766
75810611038
76813511274
77815811504
78817511732
79819711966
80819712179
81819712376
82824912574
83825712768
84826812950
85826813114
86830913242
87830913383
88830913512
89835213637
90836413748
91838313852
92840113951
93841114050
94841114136
95841114210
96841114274
97844614346
98844614416
99847714476
100850414530
101850414579
102850414621
103854714664
104856314706
105857614742
106859414780
107860614812
108860614844
109860614878
110863114903
111863114928
112866014951
113869214974
114869214992
115870815007
116870815028
117874515048
118875115058
119877715070
120879315085
121881515096
122881515103
123881515116
124885515124
125886515130
126888715138
127889515144
128889515152
129889515156
130889515163
131893015168
132893615172
133894715174
134895415178
135896515182
136896515184
137896515188
138898115190
139898415192
140900115196
141901115198
142901515200
143901515200
144901515202
145902815204
146903815204
147905315204
148906215206
149908515207
150908515208
151908515208
152911715208
153913215208
154915015210
155917215210
156920815210
157920815210
158920815210
159926815211
160933315211
161936215211
162940915212
163946815212
164946815212
165946815212
166963815212
167968415213
168975015214
169978315214
170985015214
171985015214
172985015214
1731000415214
1741006015214
1751011115215
1761016215215
1771019715215
1781019715216
1791019715218
1801032315218
1811039515218
1821045415218
1831050515218
1841054315218
1851054315218
1861054315218
1871064415218
1881078315218
1891087115218
1901103515218
1911112015218
1921112015218
1931112015219
1941138715219
1951151915219
1961162415219
1971174615219
1981186615219
1991186615220
2001186615220
2011215515220
2021227715220
2031239315220
2041249915220
2051264515220
2061264515220
2071264515220
2081289615220
2091300015220
2101315215220
2111327515220
2121340615220
2131340615220
2141340615220
2151369815220
2161378815221
2171391415221
2181402715221
2191414915221
2201414915221
2211414915221
2221445715221
223nan15221
224nan15221
225nan15221
226nan15221
227nan15221
228nan15221
229nan15221

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi