SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

North Macedonia's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
011
111
211
311
411
531
671
791
81310
91313
101915
113119
124224
134830
147037
158544
1611453
1713663
1814877
1917795
20201114
21219137
22241163
23259194
24285229
25329272
26354323
27354377
28430444
29483521
30483480
31570510
32599540
33617568
34663598
35711628
36760659
37828692
38854724
39908756
40974787
411081820
421117853
431170885
441207916
451225950
461231983
4712591017
4813001051
4913261086
5013671122
5113861159
5213991195
5314211227
5414421264
5514651298
5614941334
5715061370
5815111405
5915181437
6015261471
6115391505
6215721540
6315861578
6416221613
6516421650
6616641685
6716741718
6816941754
6917231791
7017401825
7117621862
7217921899
7318171932
7418391967
7518582002
7618982038
7719212072
7819412106
7919782140
8019992174
8120152211
8220402248
8320782282
8421302316
8521642351
8622262386
8723152420
8823912454
89nan2485
90nan2520
91nan2556
92nan2588
93nan2620
94nan2652
95nan2685

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi