SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Mexico's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
021
141
251
371
4111
5161
6261
7411
8531
9821
10931
11118100
12164118
13203149
14251177
15316209
16367248
17405292
18475353
19585420
20717477
21848552
22993628
231094738
241215848
2513781004
2615101160
2716881346
2818901558
2921431822
3024392132
3127852458
3231812839
3334413400
3438443761
3542194132
3646614562
3750144990
3853995454
3958475940
4062976460
4168757028
4274977619
4382618218
4487728856
4595019502
461054410234
471163311030
481287211870
491384212806
501467713744
511552914734
521675215768
531779916932
541922418112
552073919374
562208820661
572347122016
582490523442
592602524977
602763426594
612961628210
623152229966
633346031792
643502233712
653632735644
663832437694
674018639882
684259542087
694503244409
704714446736
714921949185
725163351739
735434654348
745659457062
755956759801
766252762580
776585665439
786862068360
797110571306
807456074362
817802377475
828140080588
838462783697
848751286847
859066489942
869343593149
879732696422
88nan99599
89nan102770
90nan105915
91nan109036
92nan112036
93nan115124
94nan118084

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi