SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Guatemala's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
011
111
261
361
481
591
6131
7171
8191
9201
10211
11241
12251
13321
14341
15361
16361
17381
18461
19471
20501
21611
22701
23741
24801
25871
26126100
27137111
28153122
29156141
30167159
31180181
32196198
33214226
34235255
35257288
36289328
37294354
38316385
39342417
40384450
41430497
42473548
43500597
44530662
45557732
46585799
47599876
48644952
496881039
507031130
517301222
527631333
537981444
548321564
559001688
569671846
5710522006
5811142187
5911992371
6013422580
6115182798
6216433076
6317633336
6419123623
6520013928
6621334268
6722654610
6825125002
6927435410
7030545868
7134246342
7237606880
7339547454
7441458040
7543488676
7646079340
7747394700
7850875052
7953365417
8055865772
8157606136
8261546514
8364856887
8467927262
8570557651
8675028039
8778668430
8882218823
8985619230
9089829664
91949110110
92984510588
931027211062
941070611530
951125112029
961186812532
971250913028
981275513552
991314514076
1001376914633
1011454015212
1021481915774
1031561916339
1041582816950
1051639717548
1061693018146
1071740918784
1081809619430
1091901120092
1102007220747
1112129321398
1122250122059
1132324822766
1142397223488
1152478724232
1162541124940
1172665825665
1182761926404
1192859827122
1202935527873
1212974228616
1223087229406
1233207430182
1243293930979
1253380931770
1263804232562
1273867733343
1283903934172
1294022934956
1304113535738
1314219236544
1324328337410
1334449238217
1344505339043
1354505339868
1364505940750
1374760541553
1384882642382
1394978943230
1405097944052
1415130644868
1425154245680
1435236546535
1445350947356
1455433948177
1465527048978
1475618949815
1485660550673
1495698751476
1505796652311
1515908953124
1526028453918
1536142854700
1546231355452
1556256256216
1566294456972
1576384757742
1586488158502
1596598359206
1606694159949
1616785660650
1626818861340
1636853362034
1646965162751
1657071463440
1667185664145
1677292164824
1687367965489
1697391266139
1707407466784
1717489367422
1727566468034
1737635868640
1747704069206
1757748169800
1767768370370
1777782870920
1787872171471
1797962272012
1808030672541
1818100973072
1828165873588
1838190974070
1848217274548
1858268475033
1868292475481
1878366475939
1888434476383
1898515276826
1908544477251
1918568177690
1928662378108
1938744278504
1948793378898
1958887879281
1968970279669
1979009280046
1989026380382
1999096880726
2009174681068
2019240981413
2029309081747
2039374882062
2049396382384
2059418282670
206nan82962
207nan83256
208nan83540
209nan83802
210nan84050
211nan84337
212nan84577

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi