SARS-CoV-2 Models

Info

The graphics below present the current evolution of the COVID-19 in the heretofore region, and they depicted data provided by the European CDC, the Brazilian Ministry of Health, and forecast models created by us. The models build on our research of statistical regression, ordinary differential equation systems, and social network dynamics.

We are publishing this information to share our knowledge about the pandemic and exchange insights with our research peers and reviewers. This information provided as is, and without warranties of any kind either express or implied. The authors do not guarantee validity, accuracy, or correctness as any implication or future result.

Argentina's parameters

Information

Success statusForecast calculated with socnet-fitrs3
Abort statusn.a.
Fit messagen.a.

Model Result

n.a

Observation

Days from the first infectedAcc InfectedModel Acc Infected
011
121
281
391
4121
5191
6311
7341
8451
9561
10651
11791
12971
131281
141581
152251
162661
173011
183871
195021
205891
216901
227451
238201
249661
259661
2611331000
2711331075
2812651210
2914511375
3015541470
3116281520
3217151580
3317951595
3418941645
3519751690
3621371760
3722031860
3822721955
3924322040
4024322145
4125602220
4226582315
4328282410
4429302480
4530202580
4631322675
4732762775
4834232900
4934232995
5037673125
5137673250
5239903370
5341143505
5442723630
5544153755
5645193940
5746684110
5847704280
5948744460
6050074685
6151954940
6253585115
6355985310
6457635575
6557765820
6660216065
6765506335
6868666550
6971216890
7074667185
7177927450
7277927690
7383587955
7487968250
7592708540
7699188845
77106369225
78113409520
791206312000
801261512555
811321513135
821392013725
831468914360
841540615035
851620115600
861683816090
871740216500
881830617080
891925517545
901925518180
912102418785
922200719395
932278120020
942360720795
952474821650
962598722500
972736023310
982875124250
993028225275
1003156426270
1013277227375
1023414628405
1033553929450
1043553930725
1053955731795
1064119132950
1074277234185
1084491835570
1094491837075
1104983838590
1115244440130
1125244441885
1135773143610
1145773145370
1156225547125
1166451749190
1176718451190
1186992853300
1197277355430
1207277357740
1217536360035
1227780262450
1238043465055
1248341367905
1258701770450
1269068073300
1279404776155
1289749679440
12910015382620
13010325285860
13110689789265
13211114792820
13311477096610
134119288100460
135122511104550
136126742108785
137130761112890
138136105117400
139141887122025
140148014126795
141153507131665
142162513136910
143162513141905
144167403147485
145173342152905
146178983158520
147185360164375
148191289170360
149196530176600
150201906183095
151206730189885
152213522196485
153220669203250
154228182210635
155235664218310
156241798225695
157246486233215
158253855240925
159260898248900
160268561257510
161276059265975
162282424274465
163289087283110
164294556292185
165299113301330
166305953311200
167312646320670
168320871330235
169329030340110
170336789350325
171342141360625
172350854370940
173359625381305
174370175392070
175380279403290
176392009414250
177401226425115
178408413436540
179417722447820
180428226459215
181439159470870
182451185482670
183461869494530
184471793506735
185478779518360
186487994530320
187500021542400
188512280554705
189524185566850
190535690578735
191546468591175
192555524603430
193565432615655
194577325628225
195588999640820
196601700653240
197613645665610
198622921677720
199640134690055
200652161702490
201664799714730
202678266726860
203691222739035
204702471751310
205711312763740
206723119775825
207736596787735
208750988799515
209764989811410
210779676822930
211790805835045
212798473847430
213809715859060
214nan870580
215nan881990
216nan893650
217nan905095
218nan916520
219nan927865
220nan938735

Contacts

Diego Carvalho 

Rafael Barbastefano 

Dayse Pastore 

Maria Clara Lippi